Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.404012 1.693802 2.049691 2.526337 3.159664 3.989673 5.190178e+00
2024-12-29 1.033301 1.380123 1.870809 2.646354 3.904692 5.997018 1.007884e+01
2025-01-05 0.814036 1.162748 1.706053 2.674711 4.513786 8.272522 1.813528e+01
2025-01-12 0.660123 0.987345 1.532891 2.595779 4.877715 10.435105 2.985315e+01
2025-01-19 0.559052 0.867157 1.409581 2.547553 5.268618 13.086350 5.023454e+01
2025-01-26 0.513047 0.827043 1.413213 2.748687 6.371760 19.210793 1.159115e+02
2025-02-02 0.469576 0.781212 1.392060 2.886175 7.431129 27.258432 2.908867e+02
2025-02-09 0.422324 0.718996 1.321925 2.878678 8.066029 35.152886 7.123049e+02
2025-02-16 0.377860 0.654635 1.232904 2.790479 8.377920 42.489748 1.795933e+03
2025-02-23 0.350445 0.619716 1.201050 2.849045 9.333342 58.253204 1.101881e+04
2025-03-02 0.330798 0.597458 1.193134 2.976355 10.751290 86.795752 2.659042e+06
2025-03-09 0.308586 0.566496 1.158146 3.007828 11.788514 120.831116 NaN
2025-03-16 0.281602 0.522494 1.084856 2.894721 12.005342 147.406269 NaN
2025-03-23 0.268038 0.506306 1.079260 3.017689 13.851238 244.028549 NaN
2025-03-30 0.252121 0.482766 1.050133 3.046172 15.193528 375.971260 NaN
2025-04-06 0.233592 0.451101 0.993845 2.951380 15.549210 494.483914 NaN
2025-04-13 0.218381 0.425521 0.950264 2.894029 16.195340 700.134133 NaN
2025-04-20 0.213810 0.424380 0.974833 3.132210 20.036073 1999.498057 NaN
2025-04-27 0.207061 0.417163 0.980652 3.295604 23.731119 6631.385006 NaN
2025-05-04 0.196429 0.399259 0.951629 3.286676 25.513395 17762.557779 NaN
2025-05-11 0.184491 0.376988 0.906062 3.181809 25.886496 38351.759748 NaN
2025-05-18 0.177523 0.366544 0.895586 3.251422 29.139919 601000.810776 NaN
2025-05-25 0.172702 0.361052 0.899855 3.403018 34.534275 NaN NaN